The open and close time have been corrected, but results are same.
Study from academic researchers and industry practitioners has demonstrated that pairs trading strategy has the potential to generate consistent and stable risk adjusted returns in all market conditions. Our own research has also illustrated that pairs trading strategy can be implemented on daily base as well as intraday base. This blog will show the real out-of-sample pairs trades between NASDAQ 100 Index and Dow Jones Industry AVG Index, and the implied market timing.
Friday, 26 June 2015
Sell off is over? Buy NDX and short INDU
The "sell in the summer" signal only lasted for two days. The model has reversed the signal to long NDX and short INDU, which implies that US equity markets are likely to go up in the near future.
The open and close time have been corrected, but results are same.
The open and close time have been corrected, but results are same.
Wednesday, 24 June 2015
Sell in the summer: Long INDU and short NDX
The just closed signal lasted longer than expected. However, it has generated 1.2% in ETF trading, 2.06% in long-only position, and 4.2% in the leveraged future trading.
The current signal is to long INDU and short NDX, which means the US equity market is likely to drop in the near future.
The current signal is to long INDU and short NDX, which means the US equity market is likely to drop in the near future.
Thursday, 4 June 2015
Waiting for another bull run
We are still holding the positions of long NDX and short Dow Jones, and gaining 0.8%, or $800 per future contract pair. The NDX is still up 0.7% since April 30. It's likely that there will be another bull run before we short NDX and long INDU, i.e. shorting the market.
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