The S&P 500 Index has climbed up by 100 points since the current UP signal appeared before the close on September 30. The emerging markets have also followed with more than 9% rally. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index reopened on Oct 2 with an UP signal, and has since incresed by 800 points, or 8.3% by the close of October 9.
Investors are wondering whether the rally will continue. Interestingly, while the pairs model sucessfully predicted the rally at the open of Sept 29, the NASDAQ 100 Index (NDX) has lagged the Dow Jones during the last few days. However, the model still maintains the UP trend. The S&P 500 Index has got support at 2010. The rally is likely to continue if the index doesn't drop below this level.
Study from academic researchers and industry practitioners has demonstrated that pairs trading strategy has the potential to generate consistent and stable risk adjusted returns in all market conditions. Our own research has also illustrated that pairs trading strategy can be implemented on daily base as well as intraday base. This blog will show the real out-of-sample pairs trades between NASDAQ 100 Index and Dow Jones Industry AVG Index, and the implied market timing.