There are two questions in this index pairs trading strategy:
1. The ratio of long/short contracts
2. The number of future contracts
At the beginning of 2015, 1 contract of E-mini NASDAQ 100 Index (NQ) is worth $85, 459. The value of 1 contract of mini size of Dow Jones Avg Index future (YM) is $89,692. At the market close of April 30, these numbers are $88, 285 for NQ and $89, 202 for YM. Therefore, maintaining 1 for the ratio of long/short contracts is appropriate.
Backtesting results indicate that the maximum potential loss from our pairs trading strategy is less than $2000 per contract. However, in order to control the risk and the leverage, we would open 1 long/short contract for each $10,000 cash in the trading account. This will be sufficient to buff any market shocks.
Study from academic researchers and industry practitioners has demonstrated that pairs trading strategy has the potential to generate consistent and stable risk adjusted returns in all market conditions. Our own research has also illustrated that pairs trading strategy can be implemented on daily base as well as intraday base. This blog will show the real out-of-sample pairs trades between NASDAQ 100 Index and Dow Jones Industry AVG Index, and the implied market timing.
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