Two-day selloff is stopped by the strong job report. This is another evidence that news can always cause unpredictable outcomes. Last strong job report caused a selloff, this time comes with a strong rebound.
Anyway, our pairs trading model has been proved to be able to pick up the market directions. It promptly suggests to close the previous positions and open "long NDX and short Dow", or simply buy in SPX, or short VIX.
It's also very interesting that during the strong selloff, the previous "short NDX long Dow" still lost 20 bps, while short position in SPX gained 0.76% in 4 days.
Study from academic researchers and industry practitioners has demonstrated that pairs trading strategy has the potential to generate consistent and stable risk adjusted returns in all market conditions. Our own research has also illustrated that pairs trading strategy can be implemented on daily base as well as intraday base. This blog will show the real out-of-sample pairs trades between NASDAQ 100 Index and Dow Jones Industry AVG Index, and the implied market timing.
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